Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 1.193390e-03 1.350318e-03 0.001509 0.001681 0.001862 0.002046 0.002246
2025-03-16 9.433327e-04 1.165695e-03 0.001399 0.001660 0.001942 0.002235 0.002562
2025-03-23 8.077746e-04 1.083645e-03 0.001383 0.001727 0.002105 0.002506 0.002960
2025-03-30 6.638184e-04 9.759136e-04 0.001327 0.001740 0.002205 0.002705 0.003277
2025-04-06 5.628603e-04 9.057702e-04 0.001304 0.001784 0.002334 0.002933 0.003625
2025-04-13 4.986337e-04 8.717191e-04 0.001318 0.001866 0.002502 0.003202 0.004018
2025-04-20 3.745737e-04 7.482285e-04 0.001216 0.001806 0.002503 0.003280 0.004195
2025-04-27 2.676002e-04 6.316234e-04 0.001112 0.001735 0.002486 0.003333 0.004340
2025-05-04 2.249647e-04 5.987624e-04 0.001109 0.001785 0.002607 0.003542 0.004659
2025-05-11 1.475611e-04 4.991746e-04 0.001012 0.001711 0.002577 0.003574 0.004775
2025-05-18 8.141489e-05 3.981218e-04 0.000902 0.001614 0.002515 0.003564 0.004839
2025-05-25 5.054700e-05 3.502833e-04 0.000862 0.001604 0.002555 0.003672 0.005036
2025-06-01 1.462009e-05 2.723610e-04 0.000783 0.001557 0.002573 0.003782 0.005271
2025-06-08 4.810750e-07 2.132145e-04 0.000724 0.001536 0.002623 0.003931 0.005556
2025-06-15 NaN 1.922355e-04 0.000727 0.001599 0.002781 0.004213 0.005999
2025-06-22 NaN 1.556241e-04 0.000695 0.001612 0.002873 0.004416 0.006350
2025-06-29 NaN 1.330340e-04 0.000685 0.001654 0.003005 0.004666 0.006758
2025-07-06 NaN 1.235249e-04 0.000700 0.001733 0.003184 0.004975 0.007235
2025-07-13 NaN 7.931854e-05 0.000628 0.001675 0.003178 0.005055 0.007439
2025-07-20 NaN 4.305621e-05 0.000553 0.001606 0.003155 0.005111 0.007613
2025-07-27 NaN 3.434455e-05 0.000552 0.001654 0.003289 0.005362 0.008019
2025-08-03 NaN 1.208838e-05 0.000482 0.001583 0.003256 0.005401 0.008169
2025-08-10 NaN 3.857766e-07 0.000405 0.001489 0.003188 0.005394 0.008260